{ "date": "2026-05-02", "generated": "2026-05-02T05:19:37", "model_version": "3.1", "protocol_version": "3.0", "analyses": [ { "match": "Brentford FC vs West Ham United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.28; DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | DC 1X@1.28 < 1.30, marche calibre", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "50%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "25%", "over_25": "59%", "btts": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.91, "nul": 3.9, "exterieur": 3.85 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Brentford 10e contre West Ham 14e. Match equilibre 1.91/3.85. DC 1X@1.28 < 1.30. OU 2.5 O@1.61 marche bien calibre.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Brentford FC", "equipe_2": "West Ham United", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 10, 14 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLWWW", "WLWDL" ] } } }, { "match": "Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge >= seuils", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "38%", "nul": "26%", "victoire_exterieur": "36%", "over_25": "57%", "btts": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.55, "nul": 3.7, "exterieur": 2.65 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Newcastle 5e contre Brighton 8e en grande forme WWWDW. Match serre, marche bien calibre. Pas d'edge sur DC, OU ou BTTS.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Newcastle United", "equipe_2": "Brighton & Hove Albion", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 5, 8 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LLWDW", "WWWDW" ] } } }, { "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Sunderland AFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Pas d'edge >= 7% (marche serré)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "27%", "nul": "27%", "victoire_exterieur": "46%", "over_25": "49%", "btts": "53%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 3.55, "nul": 3.55, "exterieur": 2.1 }, "total_estime": "2.7 buts", "raisonnement": "Wolves contre Sunderland favori extérieur (2.10). DC 12@1.32 et X2@1.31 trop proches. Pas d'edge significatif.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.12; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | ML home edge -2.4%, DC 1X<1.30", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "66%", "nul": "21%", "victoire_exterieur": "13%", "over_25": "50%", "btts": "45%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.46, "nul": 4.6, "exterieur": 7.2 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Arsenal 2e Premier League contre Fulham 11e. Forme Arsenal mediocre WWDLD. DC 1X@1.12 sous seuil. ML home@1.46 edge negatif (-2.4%) — marche bien calibre.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Arsenal FC", "equipe_2": "Fulham FC", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 2, 11 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WWDLD", "LWLLW" ] } } }, { "match": "Villarreal CF vs Levante UD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.22; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC 1X < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "56%", "nul": "22%", "victoire_exterieur": "21%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "59%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.72, "nul": 4.3, "exterieur": 4.5 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Villarreal 5e en forme parfaite WWWWW domicile contre Levante (relegation 0 forme). DC 1X@1.22 < 1.30. ML@1.72 edge +2.5% < 7%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Villarreal CF", "equipe_2": "Levante UD", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "WWWWW", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "14:15", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.23; DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Edge insuffisant tous marches", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "54%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "21%", "over_25": "53%", "btts": "53%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.78, "nul": 3.9, "exterieur": 4.5 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Valencia 12e contre Atletico Madrid 3e. Match exterieur Atletico, edge limite. DC X2@2.05 hors plage CONFIANCE, ML A@4.50 trop incertain.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Valencia CF", "equipe_2": "Atletico Madrid", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 12, 3 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLLWW", "WWLWD" ] } } }, { "match": "Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Match equilibre, marche calibre", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "35%", "nul": "28%", "victoire_exterieur": "37%", "over_25": "47%", "btts": "53%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.75, "nul": 3.4, "exterieur": 2.6 }, "total_estime": "2.7 buts", "raisonnement": "Alaves 15e contre Athletic Bilbao 4e. Match equilibre 2.75/2.60. Pas d'edge clair, marche bien calibre.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Deportivo Alaves", "equipe_2": "Athletic Bilbao", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 15, 4 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DWWLD", "LWWWD" ] } } }, { "match": "CA Osasuna vs FC Barcelona", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.21; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | ML Barca edge +1.7%, DC X2 < 1.30", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "20%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "56%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "59%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 4.7, "nul": 4.1, "exterieur": 1.72 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Osasuna 9e contre Barcelona 1er en forme WLWWW. ML Barca@1.72 edge +1.7% < 7%. DC X2@1.21 < 1.30.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "CA Osasuna", "equipe_2": "FC Barcelona", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 9, 1 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DWWDL", "WLWWW" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Nantes vs Olympique Marseille", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.24; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge ML insuffisant, DC < 1.30", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "22%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "54%", "over_25": "58%", "btts": "58%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 4.3, "nul": 4.1, "exterieur": 1.78 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Nantes 13e en forme moyenne contre OM 2e en forme WWDWW. ML OM@1.78 edge +2.2% < 7%. DC X2@1.24 < 1.30.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Nantes", "equipe_2": "Olympique Marseille", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 13, 2 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDLDD", "WWDWW" ] } } }, { "match": "Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.12; DC 12 1.16 < 1.30) | Chaos 2 (rotation pre-UCL) — exclu CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "70%", "nul": "17%", "victoire_exterieur": "13%", "over_25": "67%", "btts": "57%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.38, "nul": 5.6, "exterieur": 7.2 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "PSG champion 2025-26 contre Lorient 9e. Hakimi/Chevalier blesses, Zabarnyi/Ramos suspendus. Demi-finale UCL retour vs Bayern dans qq jours = ROTATION attendue (Enrique reshuffle). Chaos 2 confirme. ML PSG@1.38 edge +3.9% sous seuil VALUE 7%, et chaos 2 > 1 = exclu CONFIANCE.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "FC Metz vs AS Monaco", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "17:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.13; DC 12 1.16 < 1.30) | Edge ML +0.4% < 2% CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "14%", "nul": "17%", "victoire_exterieur": "69%", "over_25": "70%", "btts": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 6.8, "nul": 5.6, "exterieur": 1.4 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "Metz dernier (rel√©gable) vs Monaco 3e. ML Monaco@1.40 edge calcule +0.4% < seuil 2% CONFIANCE_STD. DC X2@1.13 < 1.30.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Metz", "equipe_2": "AS Monaco", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "", "LWWDD" ] } } }, { "match": "OGC Nice vs Racing Club De Lens", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "19:05", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.24; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Aucun edge >= 7% (ML/DC/OU/BTTS)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "22%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "54%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "59%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 4.3, "nul": 4.1, "exterieur": 1.77 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Nice 4e contre Lens 8e. Match equilibre entre tops 10. Pas d'edge clair, marches dans le bruit (DC X2@1.24, OU 2.5 O@1.57).", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "OGC Nice", "equipe_2": "Racing Club De Lens", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 4, 8 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WLWWW", "WDWLW" ] } } }, { "match": "Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.27; DC 1X 1.08; DC 12 1.12 < 1.30) | BTTS edge +0.8% < 2% CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "76%", "nul": "14%", "victoire_exterieur": "10%", "over_25": "76%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.27, "nul": 7.0, "exterieur": 9.2 }, "total_estime": "3.1 buts", "raisonnement": "Bayern Munich champion 2025-26 favorise contre Heidenheim 16e (relegation). ML 1.27 et OU O@1.24 sous 1.30. BTTS Y@1.54 plage CONFIANCE mais Heidenheim marque rarement (forme LWDWL), edge insuffisant.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Bayern Munich", "equipe_2": "1. FC Heidenheim", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 1, 16 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WWDWW", "LWDWL" ] } } }, { "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.23; DC 12 1.25 < 1.30) | DC 1X < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "55%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "22%", "over_25": "61%", "btts": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.74, "nul": 4.2, "exterieur": 4.4 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Frankfurt 3e en forme contre HSV (promu 0 forme). DC 1X@1.23 < 1.30. ML@1.74 edge +2.0% < 7%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "equipe_2": "Hamburger SV", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDDWD", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | Pas de spot >= seuil", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "48%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "28%", "over_25": "61%", "btts": "62%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.02, "nul": 3.9, "exterieur": 3.5 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Bremen 8e en forme positive contre Augsburg 12e en mauvaise forme LLLLD. ML home@2.02 edge calcule, mais hors plage CONFIANCE et < seuil VALUE.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Werder Bremen", "equipe_2": "FC Augsburg", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 8, 12 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDDDW", "LLLLD" ] } } }, { "match": "Union Berlin vs 1. FC Cologne", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "39%", "nul": "29%", "victoire_exterieur": "33%", "over_25": "50%", "btts": "55%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.5, "nul": 3.35, "exterieur": 2.95 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Union Berlin contre Cologne. Match equilibre 2.50/2.95. Pas d'edge dans aucun marche, marche calibre Stake.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge OU +1.1% < 2% CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "41%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "36%", "over_25": "69%", "btts": "70%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.37, "nul": 4.1, "exterieur": 2.7 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "Hoffenheim 15e LDDLL contre Stuttgart 9e WWWLD. OU 2.5 O@1.36 marche favori Over (cote tres basse). Edge +1.1% sous seuil.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "TSG Hoffenheim", "equipe_2": "VfB Stuttgart", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 15, 9 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LDDLL", "WWWLD" ] } } }, { "match": "Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge BTTS et OU negatifs", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "44%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "33%", "over_25": "68%", "btts": "69%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.2, "nul": 4.1, "exterieur": 2.9 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "Lev 2e DLDWD contre RBL 7e LDDLD. BTTS Y@1.37 marche calibre, edge negatif. OU 2.5 O@1.38 cote basse, edge negatif.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Bayer Leverkusen", "equipe_2": "RB Leipzig", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 2, 7 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLDWD", "LDDLD" ] } } }, { "match": "Udinese Calcio vs Torino FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Match mid-table, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "41%", "nul": "30%", "victoire_exterieur": "29%", "over_25": "45%", "btts": "51%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.33, "nul": 3.25, "exterieur": 3.3 }, "total_estime": "2.7 buts", "raisonnement": "Udinese 12e contre Torino 11e. Mid-table classique. Pas d'edge sur les marches principaux.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Udinese Calcio", "equipe_2": "Torino FC", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 12, 11 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LLLWD", "LLLDL" ] } } }, { "match": "Como 1907 vs SSC Napoli", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "16:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge >= seuils", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "42%", "nul": "29%", "victoire_exterieur": "29%", "over_25": "45%", "btts": "50%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.3, "nul": 3.3, "exterieur": 3.35 }, "total_estime": "2.7 buts", "raisonnement": "Como 10e domicile en forme LDWWW contre Napoli 1er WDDWW. Marche favorise legerement Como (2.30 vs 3.35). Match enjeu titre Napoli, mais marche bien calibre. OU 2.5 U@1.70 - probable Under mais edge -2.7%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Como 1907", "equipe_2": "SSC Napoli", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 10, 1 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LDWWW", "WDDWW" ] } } }, { "match": "Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "18:45", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.16; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML hors plage CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "61%", "nul": "23%", "victoire_exterieur": "17%", "over_25": "53%", "btts": "50%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.58, "nul": 4.2, "exterieur": 5.8 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Atalanta 3e (4 matchs sans victoire recents, élim Coppa) contre Genoa 13e. Atalanta invaincue 13 derniers vs Genoa (9W 4D). DC 1X@1.16 < 1.30. ML@1.58 hors plage CONFIANCE. Hcp -1.5@2.50 zone danger v3 (NO BET 2).", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Atalanta BC", "equipe_2": "Genoa CFC", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 3, 13 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LWWWD", "WLDLL" ] } } }, { "match": "Almere City FC vs FC Den Bosch", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.24; DC 12 1.23 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, marche calibre", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "56%", "nul": "22%", "victoire_exterieur": "22%", "over_25": "69%", "btts": "66%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.7, "nul": 4.3, "exterieur": 4.2 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "Almere City 18e (rel) contre Den Bosch (visiteur). DC 1X@1.24 < 1.30. ML@1.70 edge insuffisant, BTTS Y@1.42 plage mais data limitee.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Almere City FC", "equipe_2": "FC Den Bosch", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "DDLDL", "" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Utrecht vs NAC Breda", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.25; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "53%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "24%", "over_25": "58%", "btts": "59%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.79, "nul": 3.95, "exterieur": 4.0 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Utrecht 4e DDLWW contre NAC Breda 15e DLLLD (relegation). DC 1X@1.25 < 1.30, ML@1.79 hors plage.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Utrecht", "equipe_2": "NAC Breda", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 4, 15 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DDLWW", "DLLLD" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Groningen vs Excelsior Rotterdam", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "16:45", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.22; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "56%", "nul": "22%", "victoire_exterieur": "21%", "over_25": "62%", "btts": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.68, "nul": 4.2, "exterieur": 4.4 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Groningen 13e contre Excelsior visitor (0 forme). DC 1X@1.22 < 1.30. ML@1.68 hors plage CONFIANCE, edge +2% < 7%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Groningen", "equipe_2": "Excelsior Rotterdam", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "LDLWW", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "18:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Match equilibre top 2, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "38%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "38%", "over_25": "70%", "btts": "70%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.45, "nul": 4.0, "exterieur": 2.47 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "Ajax 2e WDLDL contre PSV 1er WWWWW (forme parfaite). Match equilibre 2.45/2.47. DC 12@1.26 < 1.30. Tier 2 demande edge >= 7% — pas atteint.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Ajax Amsterdam", "equipe_2": "PSV Eindhoven", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 2, 1 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDLDL", "WWWWW" ] } } }, { "match": "NEC Nijmegen vs SC Telstar", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.18; DC 12 1.2 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge +1.5% < 2%", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "61%", "nul": "20%", "victoire_exterieur": "19%", "over_25": "67%", "btts": "62%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.54, "nul": 4.7, "exterieur": 5.0 }, "total_estime": "3.0 buts", "raisonnement": "NEC 8e WWWDL contre Telstar (relegation). DC 1X@1.18 < 1.30, ML@1.54 plage CONFIANCE mais edge +1.5% < seuil 2%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "NEC Nijmegen", "equipe_2": "SC Telstar", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "WWWDL", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Nacional da Madeira vs AVS Futebol SAD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Liga Portugal Nacional vs AVS — DQ-C (cotes indisponibles, blessures partielles).", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Nacional da Madeira", "equipe_2": "AVS Futebol SAD", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 14, 16 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LDLDL", "LWLLD" ] } } }, { "match": "Moreirense FC vs Estrela Amadora", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "36%", "nul": "29%", "victoire_exterieur": "34%", "over_25": "43%", "btts": "50%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.6, "nul": 3.2, "exterieur": 2.75 }, "total_estime": "2.6 buts", "raisonnement": "Moreirense 10 vs Estrela Amadora 15e. Match equilibre 2.60/2.75. Pas d'edge sur DC ou OU.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Moreirense FC", "equipe_2": "Estrela Amadora", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 10, 15 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDLDL", "LLLWL" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Arouca vs Santa Clara Azores", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Match equilibre", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "33%", "nul": "30%", "victoire_exterieur": "36%", "over_25": "40%", "btts": "47%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.85, "nul": 3.1, "exterieur": 2.6 }, "total_estime": "2.6 buts", "raisonnement": "Arouca 12 contre Santa Clara 5e en forme. Match equilibre. Pas d'edge.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Arouca", "equipe_2": "Santa Clara Azores", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 12, 5 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WDDLW", "WWDWD" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "17:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.17; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "18%", "nul": "22%", "victoire_exterieur": "59%", "over_25": "55%", "btts": "53%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 5.2, "nul": 4.2, "exterieur": 1.59 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Famalicao 7 vs Benfica 2e en forme DDWWW. DC X2@1.17 < 1.30, ML Benfica@1.59 hors plage.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Famalicao", "equipe_2": "SL Benfica", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 7, 2 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "WLLDL", "DDWWW" ] } } }, { "match": "FC Porto vs FC Alverca SAD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "19:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.19; DC 1X 1.05; DC 12 1.11 < 1.30) | Cotes < 1.30 tous marches favoris", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "79%", "nul": "14%", "victoire_exterieur": "7%", "over_25": "61%", "btts": "41%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.19, "nul": 6.6, "exterieur": 14.0 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Porto 3e WWWLW contre Alverca (visiteur 0 forme). DC 1X@1.05 et 12@1.11 < 1.30. ML@1.19 < 1.30 NO BET 1.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "FC Porto", "equipe_2": "FC Alverca SAD", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "WWWLW", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "36%", "nul": "26%", "victoire_exterieur": "38%", "over_25": "58%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.65, "nul": 3.6, "exterieur": 2.47 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Wrexham (promu 0 forme) vs Middlesbrough 10e. Pas d'edge.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Wrexham AFC", "equipe_2": "Middlesbrough FC", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "", "LDLWL" ] } } }, { "match": "Watford FC vs Coventry City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "29%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "47%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 3.3, "nul": 3.95, "exterieur": 1.99 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Watford 14e LLLL contre Coventry 5e DLWLL. Coventry favori extérieur (1.99). Pas d'edge clair tier 2.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Watford FC", "equipe_2": "Coventry City", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 14, 5 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLLLL", "DLWLL" ] } } }, { "match": "Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.25; DC 12 1.29 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "51%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "24%", "over_25": "53%", "btts": "54%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.85, "nul": 3.7, "exterieur": 4.0 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Swansea 11e DLWWW contre Charlton (visiteur 0 forme). DC 1X@1.25 < 1.30, ML@1.85 hors plage.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Swansea City", "equipe_2": "Charlton Athletic", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLWWW", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Sheffield Wednesday vs West Bromwich Albion", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.16; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML hors plage CONFIANCE", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "17%", "nul": "21%", "victoire_exterieur": "63%", "over_25": "58%", "btts": "54%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 5.6, "nul": 4.6, "exterieur": 1.51 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Sheff Wed 12e contre WBA 9e. WBA favori exterieur (1.51). DC 12@1.21 et X2@1.16 < 1.30.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Sheffield Wednesday", "equipe_2": "West Bromwich Albion", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 12, 9 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DDWLL", "WDLLW" ] } } }, { "match": "Preston North End vs Southampton FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "29%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "47%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 3.25, "nul": 3.9, "exterieur": 2.02 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Preston 20e DLLLL (relegation) contre Southampton (visiteur 0 forme). Soton favori 2.02 hors plage.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Preston North End", "equipe_2": "Southampton FC", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLLLL", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Portsmouth FC vs Birmingham City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Match equilibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "36%", "nul": "27%", "victoire_exterieur": "36%", "over_25": "53%", "btts": "57%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.6, "nul": 3.5, "exterieur": 2.6 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Portsmouth 16e DDWWD contre Birmingham (0 forme). Match equilibre 2.60/2.60. Pas d'edge.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Portsmouth FC", "equipe_2": "Birmingham City", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "DDWWD", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Millwall FC vs Oxford United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.11; DC 12 1.18 < 1.30) | Edge ML +2.5% trop juste tier 2 (seuil 7%)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "69%", "nul": "19%", "victoire_exterieur": "12%", "over_25": "58%", "btts": "49%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.37, "nul": 5.0, "exterieur": 7.6 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Millwall 8e LWWLW contre Oxford 17e. ML home@1.37 plage CONFIANCE — edge +2.5%, mais p_finale ~73% solide. DC 1X@1.11 < 1.30. Edge ML insuffisant pour VALUE 7%, juste pour CONFIANCE_STD mais probabilites Oxford imprévisible.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Millwall FC", "equipe_2": "Oxford United", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 8, 17 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LWWLW", "DWDLW" ] } } }, { "match": "Ipswich Town vs Queens Park Rangers", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.08; DC 12 1.15 < 1.30) | ML 1.30 limite, DC < 1.30", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "73%", "nul": "17%", "victoire_exterieur": "10%", "over_25": "61%", "btts": "49%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.3, "nul": 5.6, "exterieur": 9.0 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Ipswich (cote ML 1.30) vs QPR. ML@1.30 limite NO BET 1. DC 1X@1.08 et 12@1.15 < 1.30.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Hull City vs Norwich City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge tier 2 sur DC/ML", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "49%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "27%", "over_25": "60%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.94, "nul": 3.8, "exterieur": 3.55 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Hull 21e DLWLD vs Norwich 13e WDLLL. ML home@1.94 hors plage. DC 1X@1.31 plage limite, edge insuffisant tier 2.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Hull City", "equipe_2": "Norwich City", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 21, 13 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DLWLD", "WDLLL" ] } } }, { "match": "Derby County vs Sheffield United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.27; DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Marche calibre", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "51%", "nul": "24%", "victoire_exterieur": "25%", "over_25": "57%", "btts": "58%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.85, "nul": 3.85, "exterieur": 3.8 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Derby 19e DWWLD contre Sheffield United 3e LWWDW. Match interessant mais cotes 1.85/3.80 - marche bien calibre.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Derby County", "equipe_2": "Sheffield United", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 19, 3 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "DWWLD", "LWWDW" ] } } }, { "match": "Bristol City vs Stoke City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.29 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "48%", "nul": "25%", "victoire_exterieur": "27%", "over_25": "59%", "btts": "61%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.98, "nul": 3.75, "exterieur": 3.5 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "Bristol 6e LLDLL contre Stoke 18e DLLWW. Match milieu de tableau bas, equilibre 1.98/3.50.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Bristol City", "equipe_2": "Stoke City", "stats": { "position_classement": [ 6, 18 ], "forme_5_derniers": [ "LLDLL", "DLLWW" ] } } }, { "match": "Blackburn Rovers vs Leicester City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "43%", "nul": "27%", "victoire_exterieur": "30%", "over_25": "53%", "btts": "56%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.17, "nul": 3.55, "exterieur": 3.15 }, "total_estime": "2.8 buts", "raisonnement": "Blackburn 7e DWWWW (forme positive) contre Leicester (visiteur 0 forme). ML@2.17 hors plage CONFIANCE. Pas d'edge >= 7%.", "stats_comparatives": { "type": "football", "equipe_1": "Blackburn Rovers", "equipe_2": "Leicester City", "stats": { "forme_5_derniers": [ "DWWWW", "" ] } } }, { "match": "Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal WFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "WCL Féminine", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.17; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | Hors scope tier 2 v3 (WCL non listee)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_domicile": "58%", "nul": "22%", "victoire_exterieur": "19%", "over_25": "59%", "btts": "56%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.6, "nul": 4.2, "exterieur": 4.8 }, "total_estime": "2.9 buts", "raisonnement": "WCL feminine Lyon vs Arsenal WFC. Hors scope tier 2 v3 (skill liste seulement Eredivisie/Liga Portugal/Championship en tier 2 foot).", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Plipuech, Peangtarn vs Zhu, Amy", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "03:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.47, "exterieur": 2.5 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Wong, Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan, Chengyiyi", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.61, "exterieur": 2.18 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Dang, Yiming vs Li, Zongyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.11 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 5.6, "exterieur": 1.11 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ye, Qiu Yu vs Zhu, Chenting", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:40", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.45, "exterieur": 1.49 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Erjavec, Veronika vs Wang, Xiyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "35%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 2.33, "exterieur": 1.54 }, "total_estime": "2.5 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Guo, Hanyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "06:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "37%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.7, "exterieur": 2.03 }, "total_estime": "2.6 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Cirpanli, Defne vs PoPa, Maria Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.08 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 6.4, "exterieur": 1.08 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ulueren, Sude vs Cortez Llorca, Lucia", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.01 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 12.0, "exterieur": 1.01 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kaynak, Minel Naz vs Shinikova, Isabella", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.01 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 12.0, "exterieur": 1.01 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ponchet, Jessika vs Uchijima, Moyuka", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "34%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 3.0, "exterieur": 1.34 }, "total_estime": "2.5 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Valentova, Tereza vs Blinkova, Anna", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.29 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "32%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.29, "exterieur": 3.3 }, "total_estime": "2.5 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kasatkina, Daria vs Sorribes Tormo, Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "35%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.42, "exterieur": 2.65 }, "total_estime": "2.5 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Korpatsch, Tamara vs Bassols Ribera, Marina", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "10:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "35%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.48, "exterieur": 2.47 }, "total_estime": "2.5 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Andreeva, Mirra vs Kostyuk, Marta", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA - WTA Madrid, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "over_25": "38%" }, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.67, "exterieur": 2.22 }, "total_estime": "2.6 buts", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Minnesota Lynx vs Toronto Tempo", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "00:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "01:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Indiana Fever vs Nigeria", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "ML 1.31 limite, edge OU < 8% seuil NBA", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": { "domicile": 1.31, "exterieur": 3.45 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "Game 7 First Round Eastern Conference. Boston ML@1.31 (limite NO BET 1). Spread Stake -5.5 vs marche US -7.5 (mouvement). Maxey 25.7 ppts derniers 3 matchs, Embiid retour, Paul George renaissance — momentum Sixers. p_finale Boston ~71% < 76% marche, edge -4.4%. OU 204.5 O@1.76 edge -1.3% < 8% NBA. Marche bien calibre.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "19:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "21:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "niveau_confiance": "faible", "probabilites": null, "cote_indicative": null, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Plipuech, Peangtarn vs Zhu, Amy", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "03:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — donnees insuffisantes pour edge fiable", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "63%", "victoire_joueur2": "37%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.47, "joueur2": 2.5 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang. Plipuech veterane vs Zhu Amy. Cotes 1.47/2.50, donnees limitees pour evaluation precise.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Wong, Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan, Chengyiyi", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — donnees limitees", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "58%", "victoire_joueur2": "42%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.61, "joueur2": 2.18 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang. Wong Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan Chengyiyi. Cotes 1.61/2.18 — pas de signal clair.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Dang, Yiming vs Li, Zongyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.11 < 1.30) | Cote favorite < 1.30 + outsider hors scope", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "17%", "victoire_joueur2": "83%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 5.6, "joueur2": 1.11 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang Dang vs Li. Li@1.11 < 1.30 NO BET 1. Cote outsider Dang 5.60 hors scope.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ye, Qiu Yu vs Zhu, Chenting", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:40", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — criteres CONFIANCE renforces non atteints", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "38%", "victoire_joueur2": "62%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 2.45, "joueur2": 1.49 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang Ye vs Zhu Chenting. Cotes 2.45/1.49. WTA 125K demande p_finale >= 0.76 et edge >= 4% — pas atteint.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Erjavec, Veronika vs Wang, Xiyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — p_finale et edge insuffisants", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "40%", "victoire_joueur2": "60%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 2.33, "joueur2": 1.54 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Huzhou. Erjavec (slovene) vs Wang Xiyu (top 100 WTA chinoise). Wang favori 1.54. p_finale ~65% < 0.76 (criteres WTA 125K), edge ~0%.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Guo, Hanyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "06:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — edge insuffisant", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "54%", "victoire_joueur2": "46%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.7, "joueur2": 2.03 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Huzhou Kawa (POL veterane) vs Guo (CHN). Cotes 1.70/2.03. Pas d'edge clair.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Cirpanli, Defne vs PoPa, Maria Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.08 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "14%", "victoire_joueur2": "86%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 6.4, "joueur2": 1.08 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ulueren, Sude vs Cortez Llorca, Lucia", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.01 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "8%", "victoire_joueur2": "92%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 12.0, "joueur2": 1.01 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kaynak, Minel Naz vs Shinikova, Isabella", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.01 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "8%", "victoire_joueur2": "92%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 12.0, "joueur2": 1.01 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Ponchet, Jessika vs Uchijima, Moyuka", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Cote favori 1.34 limite, edge non chiffrable", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "31%", "victoire_joueur2": "69%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 3.0, "joueur2": 1.34 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Saint-Malo. Ponchet (FRA wildcard) vs Uchijima (JPN top 100). Uchijima favori 1.34 - limite NO BET 1. Profil Ponchet domicile peut surprendre mais data insuffisante pour edge fiable.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Valentova, Tereza vs Blinkova, Anna", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "NO BET 1 (J1 1.29 < 1.30) | NO BET 1 — cote favori < 1.30", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "72%", "victoire_joueur2": "28%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.29, "joueur2": 3.3 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Saint-Malo Valentova@1.29 < 1.30 NO BET 1. Blinkova outsider 3.30 hors scope.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Kasatkina, Daria vs Sorribes Tormo, Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — p_finale 0.74 < 0.76, edge 3.2% < 4%", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "65%", "victoire_joueur2": "35%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.42, "joueur2": 2.65 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K La Bisbal. Kasatkina (top 15 WTA, descend en 125K) vs Sorribes Tormo (specialiste terre ESP). H2H favorable Kasatkina sur terre. Cote 1.42 plage CONFIANCE — p_finale ~74% < 0.76 (seuil WTA 125K renforce). Edge ~3.2% < 4% requis WTA 125K.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Korpatsch, Tamara vs Bassols Ribera, Marina", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "10:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "WTA 125K — donnees limitees", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "63%", "victoire_joueur2": "37%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.48, "joueur2": 2.47 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 125K La Bisbal. Korpatsch (GER) vs Bassols Ribera (ESP). Cotes 1.48/2.47. Donnees limitees, p_finale et edge non atteints pour WTA 125K.", "stats_comparatives": null }, { "match": "Andreeva, Mirra vs Kostyuk, Marta", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA - WTA Madrid, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "pari_retenu": false, "raison_no_bet": "Marche calibre, edge ML negatif les 2 cotes", "niveau_confiance": "moyen", "probabilites": { "victoire_joueur1": "57%", "victoire_joueur2": "43%" }, "cote_indicative": { "joueur1": 1.67, "joueur2": 2.22 }, "total_estime": null, "raisonnement": "WTA 1000 Madrid Final 2026. Andreeva (No.9, 19 ans, 3e finale 1000) vs Kostyuk (No.26, 1ere finale 1000, 12-0 sur terre 2026). Kostyuk H2H 1-0 (Brisbane dur 2026). Kostyuk en feu sur terre, perdu 1 set seulement. ML Andreeva@1.67 edge -1.3%, ML Kostyuk@2.22 edge -2.1%. Marche bien calibre. OU 22.5 jeux NO BET 3 (n<5 ref).", "stats_comparatives": null } ], "paris": [], "no_bet": [ { "match": "Brentford FC vs West Ham United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.28; DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | DC 1X@1.28 < 1.30, marche calibre", "raisonnement": "Brentford 10e contre West Ham 14e. Match equilibre 1.91/3.85. DC 1X@1.28 < 1.30. OU 2.5 O@1.61 marche bien calibre." }, { "match": "Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge >= seuils", "raisonnement": "Newcastle 5e contre Brighton 8e en grande forme WWWDW. Match serre, marche bien calibre. Pas d'edge sur DC, OU ou BTTS." }, { "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Sunderland AFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "14:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Pas d'edge >= 7% (marche serré)", "raisonnement": "Wolves contre Sunderland favori extérieur (2.10). DC 12@1.32 et X2@1.31 trop proches. Pas d'edge significatif." }, { "match": "Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Premier League", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.12; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | ML home edge -2.4%, DC 1X<1.30", "raisonnement": "Arsenal 2e Premier League contre Fulham 11e. Forme Arsenal mediocre WWDLD. DC 1X@1.12 sous seuil. ML home@1.46 edge negatif (-2.4%) — marche bien calibre." }, { "match": "Villarreal CF vs Levante UD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.22; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC 1X < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "Villarreal 5e en forme parfaite WWWWW domicile contre Levante (relegation 0 forme). DC 1X@1.22 < 1.30. ML@1.72 edge +2.5% < 7%." }, { "match": "Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "14:15", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.23; DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Edge insuffisant tous marches", "raisonnement": "Valencia 12e contre Atletico Madrid 3e. Match exterieur Atletico, edge limite. DC X2@2.05 hors plage CONFIANCE, ML A@4.50 trop incertain." }, { "match": "Deportivo Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Match equilibre, marche calibre", "raisonnement": "Alaves 15e contre Athletic Bilbao 4e. Match equilibre 2.75/2.60. Pas d'edge clair, marche bien calibre." }, { "match": "CA Osasuna vs FC Barcelona", "sport": "football", "ligue": "La Liga", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.21; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | ML Barca edge +1.7%, DC X2 < 1.30", "raisonnement": "Osasuna 9e contre Barcelona 1er en forme WLWWW. ML Barca@1.72 edge +1.7% < 7%. DC X2@1.21 < 1.30." }, { "match": "FC Nantes vs Olympique Marseille", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.24; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge ML insuffisant, DC < 1.30", "raisonnement": "Nantes 13e en forme moyenne contre OM 2e en forme WWDWW. ML OM@1.78 edge +2.2% < 7%. DC X2@1.24 < 1.30." }, { "match": "Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 2, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.12; DC 12 1.16 < 1.30) | Chaos 2 (rotation pre-UCL) — exclu CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "PSG champion 2025-26 contre Lorient 9e. Hakimi/Chevalier blesses, Zabarnyi/Ramos suspendus. Demi-finale UCL retour vs Bayern dans qq jours = ROTATION attendue (Enrique reshuffle). Chaos 2 confirme. ML PSG@1.38 edge +3.9% sous seuil VALUE 7%, et chaos 2 > 1 = exclu CONFIANCE." }, { "match": "FC Metz vs AS Monaco", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "17:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.13; DC 12 1.16 < 1.30) | Edge ML +0.4% < 2% CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "Metz dernier (rel√©gable) vs Monaco 3e. ML Monaco@1.40 edge calcule +0.4% < seuil 2% CONFIANCE_STD. DC X2@1.13 < 1.30." }, { "match": "OGC Nice vs Racing Club De Lens", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Ligue 1", "heure": "19:05", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.24; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Aucun edge >= 7% (ML/DC/OU/BTTS)", "raisonnement": "Nice 4e contre Lens 8e. Match equilibre entre tops 10. Pas d'edge clair, marches dans le bruit (DC X2@1.24, OU 2.5 O@1.57)." }, { "match": "Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Heidenheim", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.27; DC 1X 1.08; DC 12 1.12 < 1.30) | BTTS edge +0.8% < 2% CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "Bayern Munich champion 2025-26 favorise contre Heidenheim 16e (relegation). ML 1.27 et OU O@1.24 sous 1.30. BTTS Y@1.54 plage CONFIANCE mais Heidenheim marque rarement (forme LWDWL), edge insuffisant." }, { "match": "Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.23; DC 12 1.25 < 1.30) | DC 1X < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "Frankfurt 3e en forme contre HSV (promu 0 forme). DC 1X@1.23 < 1.30. ML@1.74 edge +2.0% < 7%." }, { "match": "Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | Pas de spot >= seuil", "raisonnement": "Bremen 8e en forme positive contre Augsburg 12e en mauvaise forme LLLLD. ML home@2.02 edge calcule, mais hors plage CONFIANCE et < seuil VALUE." }, { "match": "Union Berlin vs 1. FC Cologne", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Union Berlin contre Cologne. Match equilibre 2.50/2.95. Pas d'edge dans aucun marche, marche calibre Stake." }, { "match": "TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "13:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge OU +1.1% < 2% CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "Hoffenheim 15e LDDLL contre Stuttgart 9e WWWLD. OU 2.5 O@1.36 marche favori Over (cote tres basse). Edge +1.1% sous seuil." }, { "match": "Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Bundesliga", "heure": "16:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Edge BTTS et OU negatifs", "raisonnement": "Lev 2e DLDWD contre RBL 7e LDDLD. BTTS Y@1.37 marche calibre, edge negatif. OU 2.5 O@1.38 cote basse, edge negatif." }, { "match": "Udinese Calcio vs Torino FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Match mid-table, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Udinese 12e contre Torino 11e. Mid-table classique. Pas d'edge sur les marches principaux." }, { "match": "Como 1907 vs SSC Napoli", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "16:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge >= seuils", "raisonnement": "Como 10e domicile en forme LDWWW contre Napoli 1er WDDWW. Marche favorise legerement Como (2.30 vs 3.35). Match enjeu titre Napoli, mais marche bien calibre. OU 2.5 U@1.70 - probable Under mais edge -2.7%." }, { "match": "Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Serie A", "heure": "18:45", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.16; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML hors plage CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "Atalanta 3e (4 matchs sans victoire recents, élim Coppa) contre Genoa 13e. Atalanta invaincue 13 derniers vs Genoa (9W 4D). DC 1X@1.16 < 1.30. ML@1.58 hors plage CONFIANCE. Hcp -1.5@2.50 zone danger v3 (NO BET 2)." }, { "match": "Almere City FC vs FC Den Bosch", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.24; DC 12 1.23 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, marche calibre", "raisonnement": "Almere City 18e (rel) contre Den Bosch (visiteur). DC 1X@1.24 < 1.30. ML@1.70 edge insuffisant, BTTS Y@1.42 plage mais data limitee." }, { "match": "FC Utrecht vs NAC Breda", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.25; DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "Utrecht 4e DDLWW contre NAC Breda 15e DLLLD (relegation). DC 1X@1.25 < 1.30, ML@1.79 hors plage." }, { "match": "FC Groningen vs Excelsior Rotterdam", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "16:45", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.22; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "Groningen 13e contre Excelsior visitor (0 forme). DC 1X@1.22 < 1.30. ML@1.68 hors plage CONFIANCE, edge +2% < 7%." }, { "match": "Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "18:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.26 < 1.30) | Match equilibre top 2, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Ajax 2e WDLDL contre PSV 1er WWWWW (forme parfaite). Match equilibre 2.45/2.47. DC 12@1.26 < 1.30. Tier 2 demande edge >= 7% — pas atteint." }, { "match": "NEC Nijmegen vs SC Telstar", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Eredivisie", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.18; DC 12 1.2 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge +1.5% < 2%", "raisonnement": "NEC 8e WWWDL contre Telstar (relegation). DC 1X@1.18 < 1.30, ML@1.54 plage CONFIANCE mais edge +1.5% < seuil 2%." }, { "match": "Nacional da Madeira vs AVS Futebol SAD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes", "raisonnement": "Liga Portugal Nacional vs AVS — DQ-C (cotes indisponibles, blessures partielles)." }, { "match": "Moreirense FC vs Estrela Amadora", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Moreirense 10 vs Estrela Amadora 15e. Match equilibre 2.60/2.75. Pas d'edge sur DC ou OU." }, { "match": "FC Arouca vs Santa Clara Azores", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "14:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Match equilibre", "raisonnement": "Arouca 12 contre Santa Clara 5e en forme. Match equilibre. Pas d'edge." }, { "match": "FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "17:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.17; DC 12 1.24 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML edge insuffisant tier 2", "raisonnement": "Famalicao 7 vs Benfica 2e en forme DDWWW. DC X2@1.17 < 1.30, ML Benfica@1.59 hors plage." }, { "match": "FC Porto vs FC Alverca SAD", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Liga Portugal", "heure": "19:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.19; DC 1X 1.05; DC 12 1.11 < 1.30) | Cotes < 1.30 tous marches favoris", "raisonnement": "Porto 3e WWWLW contre Alverca (visiteur 0 forme). DC 1X@1.05 et 12@1.11 < 1.30. ML@1.19 < 1.30 NO BET 1." }, { "match": "Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "raisonnement": "Wrexham (promu 0 forme) vs Middlesbrough 10e. Pas d'edge." }, { "match": "Watford FC vs Coventry City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "raisonnement": "Watford 14e LLLL contre Coventry 5e DLWLL. Coventry favori extérieur (1.99). Pas d'edge clair tier 2." }, { "match": "Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.25; DC 12 1.29 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "Swansea 11e DLWWW contre Charlton (visiteur 0 forme). DC 1X@1.25 < 1.30, ML@1.85 hors plage." }, { "match": "Sheffield Wednesday vs West Bromwich Albion", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC X2 1.16; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | DC < 1.30, ML hors plage CONFIANCE", "raisonnement": "Sheff Wed 12e contre WBA 9e. WBA favori exterieur (1.51). DC 12@1.21 et X2@1.16 < 1.30." }, { "match": "Preston North End vs Southampton FC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "raisonnement": "Preston 20e DLLLL (relegation) contre Southampton (visiteur 0 forme). Soton favori 2.02 hors plage." }, { "match": "Portsmouth FC vs Birmingham City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Match equilibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Portsmouth 16e DDWWD contre Birmingham (0 forme). Match equilibre 2.60/2.60. Pas d'edge." }, { "match": "Millwall FC vs Oxford United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.11; DC 12 1.18 < 1.30) | Edge ML +2.5% trop juste tier 2 (seuil 7%)", "raisonnement": "Millwall 8e LWWLW contre Oxford 17e. ML home@1.37 plage CONFIANCE — edge +2.5%, mais p_finale ~73% solide. DC 1X@1.11 < 1.30. Edge ML insuffisant pour VALUE 7%, juste pour CONFIANCE_STD mais probabilites Oxford imprévisible." }, { "match": "Ipswich Town vs Queens Park Rangers", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.08; DC 12 1.15 < 1.30) | ML 1.30 limite, DC < 1.30", "raisonnement": "Ipswich (cote ML 1.30) vs QPR. ML@1.30 limite NO BET 1. DC 1X@1.08 et 12@1.15 < 1.30." }, { "match": "Hull City vs Norwich City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.28 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge tier 2 sur DC/ML", "raisonnement": "Hull 21e DLWLD vs Norwich 13e WDLLL. ML home@1.94 hors plage. DC 1X@1.31 plage limite, edge insuffisant tier 2." }, { "match": "Derby County vs Sheffield United", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.27; DC 12 1.27 < 1.30) | Marche calibre", "raisonnement": "Derby 19e DWWLD contre Sheffield United 3e LWWDW. Match interessant mais cotes 1.85/3.80 - marche bien calibre." }, { "match": "Bristol City vs Stoke City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 12 1.29 < 1.30) | Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "raisonnement": "Bristol 6e LLDLL contre Stoke 18e DLLWW. Match milieu de tableau bas, equilibre 1.98/3.50." }, { "match": "Blackburn Rovers vs Leicester City", "sport": "football", "ligue": "Championship", "heure": "11:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Pas d'edge >= 7% tier 2", "raisonnement": "Blackburn 7e DWWWW (forme positive) contre Leicester (visiteur 0 forme). ML@2.17 hors plage CONFIANCE. Pas d'edge >= 7%." }, { "match": "Olympique Lyon vs Arsenal WFC", "sport": "football", "ligue": "WCL Féminine", "heure": "13:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (DC 1X 1.17; DC 12 1.21 < 1.30) | Hors scope tier 2 v3 (WCL non listee)", "raisonnement": "WCL feminine Lyon vs Arsenal WFC. Hors scope tier 2 v3 (skill liste seulement Eredivisie/Liga Portugal/Championship en tier 2 foot)." }, { "match": "Plipuech, Peangtarn vs Zhu, Amy", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "03:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Wong, Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan, Chengyiyi", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Dang, Yiming vs Li, Zongyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.11 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Ye, Qiu Yu vs Zhu, Chenting", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:40", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Erjavec, Veronika vs Wang, Xiyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Guo, Hanyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "06:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Cirpanli, Defne vs PoPa, Maria Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.08 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Ulueren, Sude vs Cortez Llorca, Lucia", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.01 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Kaynak, Minel Naz vs Shinikova, Isabella", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML away 1.01 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Ponchet, Jessika vs Uchijima, Moyuka", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Valentova, Tereza vs Blinkova, Anna", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (ML home 1.29 < 1.30) | Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Kasatkina, Daria vs Sorribes Tormo, Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Korpatsch, Tamara vs Bassols Ribera, Marina", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "10:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Andreeva, Mirra vs Kostyuk, Marta", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA - WTA Madrid, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, pas d'edge", "raisonnement": "Match de l'inventaire complet, marche bien calibre, aucun edge >= seuils v3." }, { "match": "Minnesota Lynx vs Toronto Tempo", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "00:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "01:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Indiana Fever vs Nigeria", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "ML 1.31 limite, edge OU < 8% seuil NBA", "raisonnement": "Game 7 First Round Eastern Conference. Boston ML@1.31 (limite NO BET 1). Spread Stake -5.5 vs marche US -7.5 (mouvement). Maxey 25.7 ppts derniers 3 matchs, Embiid retour, Paul George renaissance — momentum Sixers. p_finale Boston ~71% < 76% marche, edge -4.4%. OU 204.5 O@1.76 edge -1.3% < 8% NBA. Marche bien calibre." }, { "match": "Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "19:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "19:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "21:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks", "sport": "basketball", "ligue": "NBA", "heure": "23:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-C", "chaos": 3, "raison": "DQ-C — donnees insuffisantes | DQ-C — pas de cotes DQ-A", "raisonnement": "NBA match DQ-C — cotes indisponibles ou injury report incomplet." }, { "match": "Plipuech, Peangtarn vs Zhu, Amy", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "03:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — donnees insuffisantes pour edge fiable", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang. Plipuech veterane vs Zhu Amy. Cotes 1.47/2.50, donnees limitees pour evaluation precise." }, { "match": "Wong, Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan, Chengyiyi", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — donnees limitees", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang. Wong Hong Yi Cody vs Yuan Chengyiyi. Cotes 1.61/2.18 — pas de signal clair." }, { "match": "Dang, Yiming vs Li, Zongyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "04:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.11 < 1.30) | Cote favorite < 1.30 + outsider hors scope", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang Dang vs Li. Li@1.11 < 1.30 NO BET 1. Cote outsider Dang 5.60 hors scope." }, { "match": "Ye, Qiu Yu vs Zhu, Chenting", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Jiujiang, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:40", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — criteres CONFIANCE renforces non atteints", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Jiujiang Ye vs Zhu Chenting. Cotes 2.45/1.49. WTA 125K demande p_finale >= 0.76 et edge >= 4% — pas atteint." }, { "match": "Erjavec, Veronika vs Wang, Xiyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "05:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — p_finale et edge insuffisants", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Huzhou. Erjavec (slovene) vs Wang Xiyu (top 100 WTA chinoise). Wang favori 1.54. p_finale ~65% < 0.76 (criteres WTA 125K), edge ~0%." }, { "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Guo, Hanyu", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Huzhou, China Women Singles", "heure": "06:10", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — edge insuffisant", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Huzhou Kawa (POL veterane) vs Guo (CHN). Cotes 1.70/2.03. Pas d'edge clair." }, { "match": "Cirpanli, Defne vs PoPa, Maria Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.08 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu." }, { "match": "Ulueren, Sude vs Cortez Llorca, Lucia", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.01 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu." }, { "match": "Kaynak, Minel Naz vs Shinikova, Isabella", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Istanbul, Turkiye Women Singles", "heure": "08:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (J2 1.01 < 1.30) | Cote < 1.30 (NO BET 1)", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Istanbul — cotes structurellement < 1.10 sur le favori (PoPa 1.08, Cortez 1.01, Shinikova 1.01). NO BET 1 absolu." }, { "match": "Ponchet, Jessika vs Uchijima, Moyuka", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Cote favori 1.34 limite, edge non chiffrable", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Saint-Malo. Ponchet (FRA wildcard) vs Uchijima (JPN top 100). Uchijima favori 1.34 - limite NO BET 1. Profil Ponchet domicile peut surprendre mais data insuffisante pour edge fiable." }, { "match": "Valentova, Tereza vs Blinkova, Anna", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Saint-Malo, France, Women Singles", "heure": "12:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "NO BET 1 (J1 1.29 < 1.30) | NO BET 1 — cote favori < 1.30", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K Saint-Malo Valentova@1.29 < 1.30 NO BET 1. Blinkova outsider 3.30 hors scope." }, { "match": "Kasatkina, Daria vs Sorribes Tormo, Sara", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "09:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — p_finale 0.74 < 0.76, edge 3.2% < 4%", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K La Bisbal. Kasatkina (top 15 WTA, descend en 125K) vs Sorribes Tormo (specialiste terre ESP). H2H favorable Kasatkina sur terre. Cote 1.42 plage CONFIANCE — p_finale ~74% < 0.76 (seuil WTA 125K renforce). Edge ~3.2% < 4% requis WTA 125K." }, { "match": "Korpatsch, Tamara vs Bassols Ribera, Marina", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125k La Bisbal D Emporda, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "10:30", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "WTA 125K — donnees limitees", "raisonnement": "WTA 125K La Bisbal. Korpatsch (GER) vs Bassols Ribera (ESP). Cotes 1.48/2.47. Donnees limitees, p_finale et edge non atteints pour WTA 125K." }, { "match": "Andreeva, Mirra vs Kostyuk, Marta", "sport": "tennis", "ligue": "WTA - WTA Madrid, Spain Women Singles", "heure": "15:00", "dq_flag": "DQ-A", "chaos": 1, "raison": "Marche calibre, edge ML negatif les 2 cotes", "raisonnement": "WTA 1000 Madrid Final 2026. Andreeva (No.9, 19 ans, 3e finale 1000) vs Kostyuk (No.26, 1ere finale 1000, 12-0 sur terre 2026). Kostyuk H2H 1-0 (Brisbane dur 2026). Kostyuk en feu sur terre, perdu 1 set seulement. ML Andreeva@1.67 edge -1.3%, ML Kostyuk@2.22 edge -2.1%. Marche bien calibre. OU 22.5 jeux NO BET 3 (n<5 ref)." } ], "resume": { "total_paris": 0, "exposition_totale_euros": 0, "exposition_totale_unites": "0u", "quota_atteint": "0/8", "gain_potentiel_si_tous_gagnants": { "profit_net_euros": 0, "ROI_potentiel": "+0%" } }, "inventaire": { "total": 87, "football_tier1": 21, "football_tier2": 23, "tennis": 14, "nba": 29, "dq_a": 72, "dq_b": 0, "dq_c": 15 } }