{
  "date": "2026-06-03",
  "generated": "2026-06-03T07:15:43",
  "model_version": "4.0",
  "protocol_version": "4.0",
  "analyses": [
    {
      "match": "Kalinskaya, Anna vs Chwalinska, Maja",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA - French Open Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Kalinskaya 22e tete serie en QF maiden, 7-6 TB epique R4 vs Potapova (fatigue). Chwalinska qualifiee, 1 seul set perdu sur 4 tours, forme exceptionnelle. H2H neant, modeles 50/50. Cote 1.68 hors zone rentable tennis ML (cote >= 1.50 ROI -26%)."
    },
    {
      "match": "Sabalenka, Aryna vs Shnaider, Diana",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA - French Open Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 0,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.13 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 6.60 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Sabalenka #1 mondial dominante (pas de set perdu, 86-88% predictions, 'comfortably in straight sets'). Shnaider 1-14 carriere vs top-10. Match ML hors borne 1.30-3.00 des deux cotes."
    },
    {
      "match": "Auger-Aliassime, Felix vs Cobolli, Flavio",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "ATP - French Open Men Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "QF tres equilibre — FAA forme exceptionnelle (48 aces / 4 matchs) MAIS H2H Cobolli 3-0. Modeles prediction FAA 55-60%, cote 1.93. Hors zone rentable tennis ML cote >= 1.50."
    },
    {
      "match": "Berrettini, Matteo vs Arnaldi, Matteo",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "ATP - French Open Men Singles",
      "heure": "18:15",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 0,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Berrettini favori clair 65-66% modeles predictifs, serve-bombing redoutable (1st-serve 77-85%). Arnaldi sort marathon 5h26 vs Tiafoe (fatigue). Cote 1.54 hors zone rentable ML tennis (1.40-1.60 ROI -26% sur n=90)."
    },
    {
      "match": "Radivojevic, Lola vs Ristic, Mia",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "donnees insuffisantes — p_estimee non calibrable, chaos 2",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Radivojevic 1.42 favori marche mais 'donnees limitees' des deux cotes (deux Serbes terre). Pas de H2H, surface egalite. Sans donnees fiables, p_estimee non calibrable."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lazaro Garcia, Andrea vs Samson, Laura",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) sur favori; outsider 2.03 — edge negatif",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Samson favori 1.70 (legere superiorite terre) — hors zone rentable ML tennis. Pari outsider Lazaro Garcia 2.03 calcul: p_estimee 0.42, p_finale 0.43, edge -6% — negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Palicova, Barbora vs Ciric-Bagaric, Lucija",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — match equilibre sans edge clair",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Ciric-Bagaric avantage domicile (Makarska) mais Palicova jeune Tcheque solide. Match tres equilibre 1.81/1.90, p_finale Ciric ~0.51 — edge negatif. Hors zone rentable ML."
    },
    {
      "match": "Marcinko, Petra vs Hennemann, Caijsa Wilda",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.25 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.60 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Marcinko 1.25 (NO BET 1 favori trop court) vs Hennemann wildcard 3.60 (hors borne 3.00). Aucune des deux cotes dans la zone autorisee [1.30-3.00]."
    },
    {
      "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Joint, Maya",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — Joint favori clair, cote 1.68 hors zone",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Joint #28 mondiale, gap niveau enorme vs Kawa veterane. Predictions market 'Joint enorme favorite'. Cote 1.68 hors zone rentable ML tennis. Pari outsider Kawa 2.06 edge negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Havlickova, Lucie vs Kabbaj, Yasmine",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "donnees insuffisantes — p_estimee non calibrable, edge negatif",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Havlickova 1.48 favori marche, Kabbaj forme correcte (bat Jakupovic 2-0 R1) mais surface inconnue. p_estimee 0.60 vs p_marche 0.676 — edge -5.3% negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Sramkova, Rebecca vs Wuerth, Tara",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.24 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.65 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Sramkova 1.24 favori trop court (NO BET 1). Wuerth 3.65 hors borne (NO BET 1 cote > 3.00). Pourtant Wuerth a deja battu Sramkova WTA 125K Dubrovnik 23/03 — interessant en theorie mais hors zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Montgomery, Robin vs Boskovic, Lea",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone rentable",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Montgomery jeune Americaine talentueuse vs Boskovic locale Croate. Cote 1.53 hors zone rentable. p_estimee Montgomery 0.60, edge negatif vs p_marche 0.654."
    },
    {
      "match": "Timofeeva, Maria vs Andreeva, Erika",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone rentable",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Timofeeva experience tour vs Andreeva (E.) forme correcte. Surface egalite, pas de H2H. Cote 1.57 hors zone rentable ML tennis. p_finale Timofeeva ~0.56 — edge tres negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lukas, Tena vs Semenistaja, Darja",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 3.00 = borne haute / favori 1.34 edge negatif (-10%)",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Lukas 3.00 = borne haute exacte (limite). Semenistaja 1.34 dans zone rentable (<1.50) mais avantage domicile a Lukas + pas de donnees solides Semenistaja. p_estimee Semenistaja 0.60, p_finale 0.644 vs p_marche 0.746 — edge -10.2% tres negatif. Garde universelle bloque."
    },
    {
      "match": "Krueger, Ashlyn vs Sakatsume, Himeno",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Krueger 1.29 favori trop court (vient de battre Sakatsume 2-0 R1 + Knutson 2-0). Sakatsume 3.30 hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Naef, Celine vs Inglis, Maddison",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — donnees limitees deux cotes",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "'Donnees limitees Naef' et 'Donnees limitees Inglis' — pas de calibration possible. Cote 1.51 hors zone rentable. p_finale non calibrable serieusement."
    },
    {
      "match": "Stojsavljevic, Mika vs Kalieva, Elvina",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone, outsider edge insuffisant",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Kalieva favori 1.55 (replacement player qui bat T. Gibson 4e tete serie en 3 sets), Stojsavljevic wildcard. Cote favori hors zone rentable. Outsider 2.29 p_finale 0.436 vs p_marche 0.420 — edge +1.6% trop faible."
    },
    {
      "match": "Maria, Tatjana vs Fruhvirtova, Linda",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:40",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — match ouvert sans edge clair",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Maria grass-court craftswoman + H2H 2-0 historique. Fruhvirtova momentum (bat Svitolina 6-2 6-0 R1 Birmingham). Match tres ouvert, p_finale Maria ~0.53 — edge negatif. Cote 1.71 hors zone rentable."
    },
    {
      "match": "Bartunkova, Nikola vs Knutson, Gabriela",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:50",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Bartunkova 1.29 favori trop court vs Knutson (eliminee R1 par Krueger 0-2, niveau modeste). Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Pieri, Tatiana vs Costoulas, Sofia",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.16 < 1.30 et outsider 4.50 > 3.00 (NO BET 1)",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Costoulas Belge 1.16 favori extreme, Pieri Italienne 4.50 a domicile mais hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Paquet, Chloe vs Radisic, Nika",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "13:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.11 < 1.30 et outsider 5.60 > 3.00 (NO BET 1)",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Paquet Francaise 1.11 favori extreme, Radisic Slovene 5.60 outsider. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lepchenko, Varvara vs Grant, Tyra Caterina",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "18:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "pari_retenu": false,
      "raison_no_bet": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "niveau_confiance_v4": "NO_BET",
      "probabilites": {},
      "stats_comparatives": {},
      "raisonnement": "Grant (Tyra) jeune talent Italienne domicile 1.29 favori extreme, Lepchenko veterane 3.30 hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    }
  ],
  "paris": [],
  "no_bet": [
    {
      "match": "Kalinskaya, Anna vs Chwalinska, Maja",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA - French Open Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "raisonnement": "Kalinskaya 22e tete serie en QF maiden, 7-6 TB epique R4 vs Potapova (fatigue). Chwalinska qualifiee, 1 seul set perdu sur 4 tours, forme exceptionnelle. H2H neant, modeles 50/50. Cote 1.68 hors zone rentable tennis ML (cote >= 1.50 ROI -26%)."
    },
    {
      "match": "Sabalenka, Aryna vs Shnaider, Diana",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA - French Open Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 0,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.13 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 6.60 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Sabalenka #1 mondial dominante (pas de set perdu, 86-88% predictions, 'comfortably in straight sets'). Shnaider 1-14 carriere vs top-10. Match ML hors borne 1.30-3.00 des deux cotes."
    },
    {
      "match": "Auger-Aliassime, Felix vs Cobolli, Flavio",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "ATP - French Open Men Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "raisonnement": "QF tres equilibre — FAA forme exceptionnelle (48 aces / 4 matchs) MAIS H2H Cobolli 3-0. Modeles prediction FAA 55-60%, cote 1.93. Hors zone rentable tennis ML cote >= 1.50."
    },
    {
      "match": "Berrettini, Matteo vs Arnaldi, Matteo",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "ATP - French Open Men Singles",
      "heure": "18:15",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 0,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — zone non rentable n=90",
      "raisonnement": "Berrettini favori clair 65-66% modeles predictifs, serve-bombing redoutable (1st-serve 77-85%). Arnaldi sort marathon 5h26 vs Tiafoe (fatigue). Cote 1.54 hors zone rentable ML tennis (1.40-1.60 ROI -26% sur n=90)."
    },
    {
      "match": "Radivojevic, Lola vs Ristic, Mia",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "donnees insuffisantes — p_estimee non calibrable, chaos 2",
      "raisonnement": "Radivojevic 1.42 favori marche mais 'donnees limitees' des deux cotes (deux Serbes terre). Pas de H2H, surface egalite. Sans donnees fiables, p_estimee non calibrable."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lazaro Garcia, Andrea vs Samson, Laura",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) sur favori; outsider 2.03 — edge negatif",
      "raisonnement": "Samson favori 1.70 (legere superiorite terre) — hors zone rentable ML tennis. Pari outsider Lazaro Garcia 2.03 calcul: p_estimee 0.42, p_finale 0.43, edge -6% — negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Palicova, Barbora vs Ciric-Bagaric, Lucija",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — match equilibre sans edge clair",
      "raisonnement": "Ciric-Bagaric avantage domicile (Makarska) mais Palicova jeune Tcheque solide. Match tres equilibre 1.81/1.90, p_finale Ciric ~0.51 — edge negatif. Hors zone rentable ML."
    },
    {
      "match": "Marcinko, Petra vs Hennemann, Caijsa Wilda",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.25 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.60 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Marcinko 1.25 (NO BET 1 favori trop court) vs Hennemann wildcard 3.60 (hors borne 3.00). Aucune des deux cotes dans la zone autorisee [1.30-3.00]."
    },
    {
      "match": "Kawa, Katarzyna vs Joint, Maya",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — Joint favori clair, cote 1.68 hors zone",
      "raisonnement": "Joint #28 mondiale, gap niveau enorme vs Kawa veterane. Predictions market 'Joint enorme favorite'. Cote 1.68 hors zone rentable ML tennis. Pari outsider Kawa 2.06 edge negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Havlickova, Lucie vs Kabbaj, Yasmine",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "donnees insuffisantes — p_estimee non calibrable, edge negatif",
      "raisonnement": "Havlickova 1.48 favori marche, Kabbaj forme correcte (bat Jakupovic 2-0 R1) mais surface inconnue. p_estimee 0.60 vs p_marche 0.676 — edge -5.3% negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Sramkova, Rebecca vs Wuerth, Tara",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.24 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.65 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Sramkova 1.24 favori trop court (NO BET 1). Wuerth 3.65 hors borne (NO BET 1 cote > 3.00). Pourtant Wuerth a deja battu Sramkova WTA 125K Dubrovnik 23/03 — interessant en theorie mais hors zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Montgomery, Robin vs Boskovic, Lea",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone rentable",
      "raisonnement": "Montgomery jeune Americaine talentueuse vs Boskovic locale Croate. Cote 1.53 hors zone rentable. p_estimee Montgomery 0.60, edge negatif vs p_marche 0.654."
    },
    {
      "match": "Timofeeva, Maria vs Andreeva, Erika",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "11:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone rentable",
      "raisonnement": "Timofeeva experience tour vs Andreeva (E.) forme correcte. Surface egalite, pas de H2H. Cote 1.57 hors zone rentable ML tennis. p_finale Timofeeva ~0.56 — edge tres negatif."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lukas, Tena vs Semenistaja, Darja",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Makarska, Croatia Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "cote ML 3.00 = borne haute / favori 1.34 edge negatif (-10%)",
      "raisonnement": "Lukas 3.00 = borne haute exacte (limite). Semenistaja 1.34 dans zone rentable (<1.50) mais avantage domicile a Lukas + pas de donnees solides Semenistaja. p_estimee Semenistaja 0.60, p_finale 0.644 vs p_marche 0.746 — edge -10.2% tres negatif. Garde universelle bloque."
    },
    {
      "match": "Krueger, Ashlyn vs Sakatsume, Himeno",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Krueger 1.29 favori trop court (vient de battre Sakatsume 2-0 R1 + Knutson 2-0). Sakatsume 3.30 hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Naef, Celine vs Inglis, Maddison",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — donnees limitees deux cotes",
      "raisonnement": "'Donnees limitees Naef' et 'Donnees limitees Inglis' — pas de calibration possible. Cote 1.51 hors zone rentable. p_finale non calibrable serieusement."
    },
    {
      "match": "Stojsavljevic, Mika vs Kalieva, Elvina",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "09:30",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — favori hors zone, outsider edge insuffisant",
      "raisonnement": "Kalieva favori 1.55 (replacement player qui bat T. Gibson 4e tete serie en 3 sets), Stojsavljevic wildcard. Cote favori hors zone rentable. Outsider 2.29 p_finale 0.436 vs p_marche 0.420 — edge +1.6% trop faible."
    },
    {
      "match": "Maria, Tatjana vs Fruhvirtova, Linda",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "10:40",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "tennis ML cote >= 1.50 (NO BET 10) — match ouvert sans edge clair",
      "raisonnement": "Maria grass-court craftswoman + H2H 2-0 historique. Fruhvirtova momentum (bat Svitolina 6-2 6-0 R1 Birmingham). Match tres ouvert, p_finale Maria ~0.53 — edge negatif. Cote 1.71 hors zone rentable."
    },
    {
      "match": "Bartunkova, Nikola vs Knutson, Gabriela",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:50",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Bartunkova 1.29 favori trop court vs Knutson (eliminee R1 par Krueger 0-2, niveau modeste). Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Pieri, Tatiana vs Costoulas, Sofia",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "12:10",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 2,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.16 < 1.30 et outsider 4.50 > 3.00 (NO BET 1)",
      "raisonnement": "Costoulas Belge 1.16 favori extreme, Pieri Italienne 4.50 a domicile mais hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Paquet, Chloe vs Radisic, Nika",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "13:20",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.11 < 1.30 et outsider 5.60 > 3.00 (NO BET 1)",
      "raisonnement": "Paquet Francaise 1.11 favori extreme, Radisic Slovene 5.60 outsider. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    },
    {
      "match": "Lepchenko, Varvara vs Grant, Tyra Caterina",
      "sport": "tennis",
      "ligue": "WTA 125K - WTA 125K Foggia, Italy Women Singles",
      "heure": "18:00",
      "dq_flag": "DQ-A",
      "chaos": 1,
      "raison": "cote ML 1.29 < 1.30 (NO BET 1) — outsider 3.30 > 3.00 hors scope",
      "raisonnement": "Grant (Tyra) jeune talent Italienne domicile 1.29 favori extreme, Lepchenko veterane 3.30 hors borne. Aucune cote dans zone autorisee."
    }
  ],
  "resume": {
    "total_paris": 0,
    "repartition_niveaux": {
      "CERTAIN": 0,
      "CONFIANT": 0,
      "PROBABLE": 0
    },
    "exposition_totale_euros": 0,
    "exposition_totale_unites": "0u",
    "gain_potentiel_si_tous_gagnants": {
      "profit_net_euros": 0,
      "ROI_potentiel": "0%"
    },
    "calibration_attendue": {
      "win_rate_attendu_si_calibration_parfaite": "n/a",
      "details": "Aucun pari retenu — discipline v4.0 NO BET total"
    }
  }
}